Newmont Corporation has showcased impressive financial resilience with a record adjusted EBITDA of $13.48 billion in 2025, marking a 55.3% year-over-year increase, largely driven by higher gold prices and strong sales. However, the company faces challenges from geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf that threaten sustained gold price weakness, potentially impacting profitability. Despite these risks, Newmont remains well-positioned for future growth, optimizing its operations through the $16.8 billion acquisition of Newcrest Mining and projecting revenues of $21.6 billion by 2028.
“This ATO rule targets foreign investors selling Australian property-related assets (mining, energy, infrastructure) with retrospective CGT changes over the past 4 years—to override recent court losses against big firms like Newmont.”
“Materials names Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) at 4.79 and Newmont (NEM) at 4.77 also rank among the leaders, alongside technology name MaxLinear (MXL) and industrial player Sandvik (SDVKY), reflecting broadly strong factor readings across valuation, growth, and profitability.”
“Newmont Corporation NEM distributed $3.4 billion to its shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2025. Newmont announced an increased dividend of 26 cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2025.”
“NEM executed $3.6 billion from $6 billion of buyback authorization as of Feb. 19, 2026.”
“Newmont Corporation NEM reported adjusted EBITDA of record $13.48 billion in 2025, a year-over-year increase of 55.3%.”
“The company reported 2025 revenues of $22.8 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of 21.3%.”
“Recently, Newmont Corporation’s share price reacted to a fall in gold prices after President Trump announced a blockade on sea traffic in the Persian Gulf, shifting expectations for the company’s profitability as a major gold producer. The episode underlines how sensitive Newmont’s business is to macro shocks that ripple through inflation, interest rates, and investor appetite for gold.”
“the biggest near term risk is that sustained gold weakness could collide with higher operating and capital spending; this specific Gulf-related move does not yet appear to change that balance in a fundamental way.”
“Newmont's narrative projects $21.6 billion revenue and $6.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 1.6% yearly revenue growth and a $0.2 billion earnings increase from $6.2 billion today.”
“Compared with consensus, the lowest analysts paint a much tougher picture, assuming roughly flat revenue near US$22.0 billion and earnings of about US$7.9 billion by 2029.”
“Newmont, on its fourth-quarter call, said that it expects to continue to deliver strong free cash flows in 2026, aided by a world-class portfolio.”
“This gold and copper miner is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.98 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of +58.4%.”