Detailed view for this entity.
“At the time, he told me a US strike was likely, but not imminent. Today that timeline may have shortened but the strategic picture he describes remains highly relevant.”
“President Trump himself has evoked the Venezuela model where it was essentially an economic blockade as a prelude to a political decapitation. And I think if they could somehow see the exit of Ayat and replaced by someone more compliant, that's the scenario I think he would go for.”
“And the Islamic Republic of Iran is in the business of destruction. And so those neighboring countries are rightfully worried that, you know, they could primarily suffer the blowback.”
“I do think you know we commonly lump Chinese and Russian interests together visa v Iran and I think they actually have different interests. I think that China would benefit from an Iran which opens up to the world who is not a source of instability in the Middle East. All of that benefits Russia. Russia wants to see an Iran, which is isolated, which plays a destabilizing role in the Middle East.”
“if you were betting in the course of the next 3 6 months is one of the safer bets out there that the Iranian people are going to suffer more as a consequence of all this.”
“in the medium-term this is one of the most politically mature societies in the region arguably one of the most secular pro-American societies in the region. Reconciliation with the United States is one of the first prerequisites I think people understand for Iran emerging from isolation.”