“The coordinated use of immigration enforcement against Soleimani’s relatives alongside public calls countering Iranian maritime threats creates a cohesive U.S. stance: leveraging non-military pressures while signaling resolve. Although these measures raise the potential for Iranian retaliation or escalation—especially around the Strait of Hormuz—the absence of conflicting assessments across pillars indicates a unified risk posture. Overall, the U.S. faces a moderate diplomatic and security risk that can be managed through calibrated deterrence and engagement.”