“Overall, the U.S. risk posture remains ‘Guarded Confidence.’ While the Easter warning to Iran underscores a willingness to use both deterrence and public messaging to secure critical chokepoints, the deepening U.S.–India partnership provides a strategic hedge and diplomatic outlet in the broader Indo-Pacific. The absence of internal inconsistencies across pillars means these dual tracks—pressure on Iran and bolstered alliances—are coherent elements of a unified strategy to manage volatility in multiple theaters.”