“With both pillars highlighting the central theme of assertive, possibly overstated, public messaging—whether in the form of scrutinized leadership communications or declarations of overwhelming military victories—there is a consensus around reputational and credibility risks rather than a direct operational divergence. The absence of conflicting narratives reduces the immediate risk of internal policy fragmentation, but the unified overconfidence in public statements creates a moderate strategic risk of eroding domestic support and international trust if empirical outcomes fail to match those claims.”