“Although earlier reports portrayed Mojtaba Khamenei as incapacitated, the released video of him walking into an operations room demonstrates that he retains at least basic functional capacity. This resolves the divergence by indicating that while he may have health issues, they do not currently prevent him from executing limited official duties. Consequently, the risk of an abrupt leadership vacuum is low, though potential health-related lapses could still generate episodic governance uncertainty over the medium term.”