In early January 2026, Saudi Arabia launched a significant counter-offensive, directly targeting not only separatists but also Emirati assets, indicating an escalation of military engagements in the region. Concurrently, Riyadh has shifted its stance, moving from initial opposition to privately supporting potential U.S. military strikes against Iran, signaling a hardening geopolitical alignment. These developments unfold amidst ongoing discussions about Saudi Arabia's actual oil production capabilities, with claims that the kingdom cannot sustain 12 million barrels per day from its fields, having never exceeded 10.5 million.
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