“The apparent conflict stems from temporal framing rather than true substantive disagreement. All reports agree the Supreme Court will address late-arriving mail ballots; some stories (39190, 39191, 39397) cite courtroom questioning to predict the Court will strike down Mississippi’s acceptance window, while the baseline story (37964) merely notes the issue is on the docket. Thus the divergence resolves as a difference between cautious preview and confident forecast, not opposite outcomes. The Court has not ruled yet, so ultimate policy risk remains open. Overall posture: Medium risk—election-administration rules could shift significantly, but there is ample lead-time for states to adapt once a ruling is issued.”