“All pillars converge on the same storyline: Iranian-backed militias are intensifying drone and rocket attacks on U.S. diplomatic and military facilities in Baghdad’s Green Zone while U.S. forces respond with limited strikes of their own. No substantive divergence exists among the pillars—mechanics, mood, map and machine all indicate a worsening security environment. Therefore the final risk posture is assessed as HIGH (imminent threat to U.S. personnel and facilities in Baghdad with potential for rapid regional spill-over).”