“All pillars converge on a shared diplomatic narrative: key actors publicly emphasize de-escalation, respect for international law and willingness to mediate. No material contradictions surface between the MAP (pragmatic national-interest framing) and MOOD (normative pro-peace messaging) pillars, while MACHINE and MECHANICS remain silent. Because rhetoric is aligned, the communication risk of sudden escalatory messaging is low. Substantive geopolitical risk persists in the background (active wars), but the information environment itself signals cautious stability. Final posture: LOW-TO-MODERATE risk, trending toward further confidence if advocacy is matched by concrete steps.”